• A Look at Recessions and their Impact on Librarianship

    January 14, 2009

    Image cour­tesy of Flickr user RayBanBro66


    Given the con­stant flood of reports com­par­ing our cur­rent eco­nomic reces­sion with past major reces­sion events includ­ing the Great Depres­sion, I want to explore the his­tor­i­cal pat­terns of employ­ment rates and salaries for librar­i­ans at times of reces­sion and the role of libraries dur­ing reces­sion events.

    In 1933, Carl Milam, sec­re­tary of the Amer­i­can Library Asso­ci­a­tion, along with Ora Wil­der­muth, an attor­ney in Indi­ana, and H.L. Wool­hiser, a city man­ager in Illi­nois, held a radio broad­cast called “How to Reduce the Library Bud­get.”  The tran­script (avail­able from the National Munic­i­pal Review, 1933, vol. 22, no. 8) unpacks a reveal­ing con­ver­sa­tion about the pres­sures on libraries dur­ing the Great Depres­sion and the cor­re­spond­ing aims of the Amer­i­can Library Association.

    Judge Wil­der­muth: Wages are down, and the incomes from every busi­ness and every prop­erty has been dras­ti­cally reduced. In many cases the income from prop­erty is not suf­fi­cient to pay taxes, much less liv­ing expenses of the owner…In a time of depres­sion we have to stop con­sid­er­ing what is good for a well orga­nized social struc­ture and con­sider what is nec­es­sary for con­tin­ued exis­tence of the peo­ple. In my town we have been spend­ing $90,000 per month for poor relief and that is not enough. Our pub­lic library spends about the same amount each year. Sup­pose we are reduced to the neces­sity of elim­i­nat­ing one of these func­tions, which will it be Mr. Milam?”

    It’s 2009 and our nation is in a major finan­cial cri­sis with a new lead­er­ship posi­tion­ing itself to get our econ­omy back on track. The media is spilling over with wors­en­ing updates on our econ­omy, a shrink­ing job mar­ket and what it all means for cit­i­zens and their jobs. Paul Krug­man, Nobel Prize win­ner for Eco­nom­ics in 2008, called the cur­rent eco­nomic down­turn the “worst sit­u­a­tion in two life­times” on the Decem­ber 29, 2008 air­ing of CBS’ Face the Nation program:

    By all accounts, the pro­fes­sion of librar­i­an­ship is not immune to the com­pound­ing eco­nomic down­fall. As of Decem­ber 2008, the US National Bureau of Labor Sta­tis­tics declared a 7.2% unem­ploy­ment rate across all pro­fes­sions and indus­tries (approx­i­mately 10,015,000 unem­ployed per­sons), rep­re­sent­ing the high­est unem­ploy­ment rate since 1991. Of that, librar­i­ans, train­ers and edu­ca­tors make up 218,000 of the unem­ployed pop­u­la­tion. This is up from 98,000 unem­ployed peo­ple in this cat­e­gory in Decem­ber 2007 to 218,000 in Decem­ber 2008.

    So, what does all of this look like for the librar­i­an­ship pro­fes­sion, a pro­fes­sion that very recently (Decem­ber 2008) was listed as one of the top pro­fes­sions by the U.S. News and World Report? How has librar­i­an­ship fared over the past sev­eral eco­nomic reces­sions? How has our pro­fes­sion recov­ered from those reces­sions? What role are libraries play­ing dur­ing the cur­rent eco­nomic crisis?

    Libraries dur­ing reces­sion events

    Praise for library ser­vices and col­lec­tions dur­ing the cur­rent eco­nomic cri­sis is remark­ably sim­i­lar to the praise of libraries dur­ing the Great Depres­sion. In his excel­lent inves­ti­ga­tion of the impact of the ALA on the anti-taxation groups that arose in response to eco­nomic col­lapse dur­ing the Great Depres­sion, Bren­dan Luyt (2007) sum­ma­rized a set of posi­tion state­ments from the ALA for the role of the library:

    as pro­vid­ing encour­age­ment for the cit­i­zen to re-identify with state, in the form of loy­alty to the pub­lic library, a state agency. The library was por­trayed as medi­at­ing between the indi­vid­ual and the rest of soci­ety. Medi­a­tion had both ‘giv­ing’ and ‘pro­tect­ing’ func­tions. Through the library cit­i­zens could be given access to prac­ti­cal instruc­tion, as well as to the ‘finer’ cul­tural things of life, while also being pro­tected against the forces of anar­chy and disorder.”

    Fast-forward to today’s reces­sion and it’s hard to miss the praise for the ser­vices and col­lec­tions that libraries offer. These reports mir­ror sim­i­lar mar­ket­ing mate­ri­als pub­lished by the Bul­letin of the ALA dur­ing 1933 and 1934 pro­mot­ing the value and role of libraries dur­ing the Great Depres­sion. Take an eHow arti­cle for exam­ple, that pro­motes ways that cit­i­zens can make the most of libraries dur­ing an eco­nomic downturn:

    Mem­bers can re-skill them­selves, enhance their knowl­edge, gain new capa­bil­i­ties and even save money while bor­row­ing (instead of buy­ing) pop­u­lar books, study mate­ri­als, nov­els and DVDs.” –eHow

    Sto­ries of libraries pro­vid­ing access to books, videos/dvds, cds, news­pa­pers, mag­a­zines, jour­nals, ref­er­ence guid­ance and Inter­net ser­vice in addi­tion to train­ing and pro­gram­ming for chil­dren, teens and adults are pop­ping up every­where. A news-map snap­shot of the lat­est news sto­ries about the value of libraries over the past month on MetaCarta spot­lights hun­dreds of loca­tions where library usage has dra­mat­i­cally increased dur­ing the past year.

    libraries_economic_map

    At the same time, these news reports are remark­ing on the incredulity of library shut­downs due to lack of bud­get funds.

    Given the inher­ent value of libraries dur­ing the cur­rent eco­nomic cri­sis, Penn­syl­va­nia State Librar­ian Mary Clare Zales, tes­ti­fied before the House of Rep­re­sen­ta­tives that libraries are essen­tial to the nation.

    The pub­lic library plays an even more impor­tant role as Amer­i­cans are fac­ing tough eco­nomic times. Library usage is up ten per­cent from the last eco­nomic down­turn in 2001. Deb­bie Long of West Goshen in Chester County, Penn­syl­va­nia noted the price of bor­row­ing one hard­back book from the library saves her enough to fill her gas tank halfway. So this year, she is fre­quent­ing the West Chester Pub­lic Library instead of the book­store. … Patrons are vis­it­ing their library for more than the bor­row­ing of free books. Libraries offer data­bases with job list­ings, train­ing on resume devel­op­ment, tech­niques for inter­view­ing and 21st cen­tury skills needed to get that new job. The Washoe County Library System’s Com­mu­nity Resource Cen­ter in Nevada helped Stephanie D’Arcy, who hadn’t had full-time employ­ment for sev­eral months, suc­cess­fully get a job with the local parks and recre­ation depart­ment. … That library atten­dance has increased is not a sur­prise. Stud­ies from gen­er­a­tion to gen­er­a­tion have shown that in times of eco­nomic down­turn, libraries become busier.”

    Fur­ther­more, Library Jour­nal (Novem­ber 15, 2008) reported that the Amer­i­can Library Asso­ci­a­tion (ALA) is seek­ing a $100 mil­lion stim­u­lus pack­age from Con­gress to “help libraries aid Amer­i­cans as they deal with the nation’s cur­rent fis­cal cri­sis.” With or with­out a fund­ing stim­u­lus, most libraries are undoubt­edly fac­ing sig­nif­i­cant bud­get cuts and seek­ing solu­tions via hir­ing freezes, lay­offs, col­lec­tions cuts, ser­vice cut­backs, fore­go­ing com­put­ing refreshes, salary freezes, etc. Just a few examples:

    Impact of reces­sion events on librar­ian salaries and employment

    While libraries are see­ing huge increases in usage, the job mar­ket for librar­i­ans is being hit hard. With unem­ploy­ment on the rise and hir­ing freezes and lay­offs in effect, what might our pro­fes­sion expect and can we iden­tify trends from past reces­sion events to help inform our future? I am not an econ­o­mist or a his­to­rian, but I am deeply con­cerned about the impact of the cur­rent reces­sion on the librar­i­an­ship pro­fes­sion and want to try to bring to light any evi­dence from past reces­sion events to pre­pare librar­i­ans for what might lie ahead.  Much of what is pre­sented below lends itself to many dif­fer­ent inter­pre­ta­tions and I invite our read­ers to make up their own minds and share their own insights.

    A reces­sion is mea­sured as a decrease in the Gross Domes­tic Prod­uct (GDP) over at least two quar­ters. This can also be con­veyed as a per­cent change in the GDP, as dis­played in the fig­ures that fol­low. I used salaries and num­ber of peo­ple employed as librar­i­ans as two indi­ca­tors of how librar­i­an­ship has fared dur­ing the past reces­sion events. Giv­ing credit to the sources of this data: aver­age (a.k.a mean) annual librar­ian salaries came from the ALA Annual Salary Sur­vey, a very handy report by Denise Davis from 2005 on librar­ian salaries and the Ger­ould Sta­tis­tics 1907/08 – 1961/62. The num­ber of peo­ple employed as librar­i­ans over the years came from the U.S. Cen­sus Bureau Sta­tis­ti­cal Abstracts and the U.S. Bureau of Labor Sta­tis­tics.

    The period of 1930 – 1961 included six reces­sions as iden­ti­fied by the U.S. National Bureau of Sta­tis­tics. In Fig­ure 1 below, these six reces­sions are rep­re­sented by the yel­low ver­ti­cal bars. The GDP Per­cent Change is rep­re­sented by the blue line and the Aver­age Librar­ian Salaries is rep­re­sented by the red line. From 1930 – 1939 (the Great Depres­sion) the aver­age librar­ian salaries slowly decreased from $2,099 in 1930 to a low of $1,591 in 1939. The fol­low­ing years from 1940 – 1947 show a grad­ual increase in the aver­age salary from $1,724 in 1940 to $2,562 in 1947 even though there was a short reces­sion from 1945 – 1946 (pos­si­bly due to the end of World War II). One could spec­u­late that because the librar­ian pro­fes­sion was not sought after by males return­ing from ser­vice, that job secu­rity for the women hold­ing those posi­tions was solid. How­ever, dur­ing the mild reces­sion from 1948 – 1949, aver­age salaries did drop 6.3% fol­lowed by a sub­stan­tial rise of 15% in 1949 ($2,759). For the rest of this period, from 1950 – 1961, the aver­age salaries con­tin­ued to increase despite three more reces­sions. This data sug­gests that even dur­ing this tur­bu­lent period, for those librar­i­ans who did have jobs, their salaries bounced back and even rose despite some some mild reces­sion events toward the end of the period.

    Fig­ure 2 describes the period from 1988 – 2007 which includes three reces­sions: 1990 – 1991 reces­sion event tied to a decrease in indus­trial man­u­fac­tur­ing and sales, 2001 – 2003 reces­sion tied to the dot​.com col­lapse com­bined with 9/11, and the cur­rent reces­sion from 2007-present. Aver­age librar­ian salaries increased steadily through­out this 20-year period, going from $29,675 in 1988 to $57,809 in 2007. The most dra­matic increase in the aver­age salary for librar­i­ans occurred between 1988 and 1989 when the aver­age salary increased by nearly 12% (or $3,485). One might expect that the dot​.com reces­sion would have had an impact on librar­ian salaries given the profession’s close ties with the infor­ma­tion indus­try, but does not appear to be the case. There could be many rea­sons why (e.g., librar­i­an­ship, for the most part, was not at the bleed­ing edge of tech­nol­ogy dur­ing 2001 – 2003), but the health of the job mar­ket has held steady with robust salaries dur­ing this period.

    Tak­ing into account the num­ber of librar­i­ans employed, Fig­ure 3 describes the period from 1977 – 2007 which includes four reces­sions: 1980 – 1982 reces­sion tied to the Iran­ian Rev­o­lu­tion and U.S. attempts to con­trol infla­tion, 1990 – 1991, 2001 – 2003, and the cur­rent reces­sion. The GDP Per­cent Change is rep­re­sented by the blue line and the num­ber of librar­i­ans employed is rep­re­sented by the red line. A lack of data deemed that I could not include ear­lier time peri­ods, includ­ing the 1973 – 1975 reces­sion which was linked to the oil cri­sis of 1973 and the Viet­nam War, but it appears that the econ­omy is still in recov­ery mode from 1977 – 1978 as seen in the chart. What is evi­dent is that dur­ing each of these reces­sion events, the num­ber of employed librar­i­ans decreased. The period from 1980 – 1982 saw a series of dra­matic swings from a decrease in the num­ber of employed librar­i­ans by 3.5% (dropped by 7,000 per­sons) in 1981 quickly fol­lowed by a sharp increase in 1982 by nearly 8% (an increase of 15,000 per­sons), imme­di­ately fol­lowed by another decrease of nearly 7% (dropped by 14,000 peo­ple no longer employed as librar­i­ans in 1983). The reces­sion of 1990 – 1991 also saw a sub­stan­tial decrease (nearly 7% or 15,000 peo­ple no longer employed as librar­i­ans). How­ever, the period from 2001 – 2003 saw the great­est change – a drop of just over 16% (or 38,000 peo­ple not longer employed in librar­i­an­ship). Sta­bi­liz­ing from 2004 to 2006, the num­ber of peo­ple employed as librar­i­ans increased from 217,000 to 229,000. The lat­est data for 2007 report that the num­ber of employed librar­i­ans again dropped to 215,000. This seems to indi­cate that the num­ber of employed librar­i­ans is a much more volatile sta­tis­tic and more sus­cep­ti­ble to major eco­nomic down­turns. If you are employed as a librar­ian now, count your lucky stars because your salary, if his­tory is any indi­ca­tion, should hope­fully remain fairly sta­ble. If you’re in the job mar­ket now, you will cer­tainly find it a rough road ahead as long as this reces­sion lasts.

    Fig­ure 1: Com­par­i­son of GDP Per­cent Change and Aver­age Librar­ian Salaries, 1930 – 1961
    gdp_librarian_avg_salaries_1930-1961

    Fig­ure 2: Com­par­i­son of GDP Per­cent Change and Aver­age Librar­ian Salaries, 1988 – 2007
    gdp_librarian_avg_salaries_1988-2007

    Fig­ure 3: Com­par­i­son of GDP Per­cent Change and Num­ber of Employed Librar­i­ans, 1977 – 2007
    gdp_number_librarians_1977-2007_rev

    The Bot­tom Line?

    Over­all this is pretty rot­ten news. It’s pos­si­ble that the U.S. Cen­sus hasn’t got the most cur­rent data and that much of this is cer­tainly up for scrutiny; how­ever, if the cur­rent reces­sion is being called the worst reces­sion since the 1930s, it’s hard to imag­ine the aver­age librar­ian salary con­tin­u­ing to increase and the employ­ment fig­ures get­ting much bet­ter any­time soon. If you have a job, hold on it. If you don’t, there are some pretty good avenues to explore. In addi­tion to host­ing job ads, LISJobs​.com is a great first stop for resources that help match librar­i­ans with free con­tin­u­ing edu­ca­tion oppor­tu­ni­ties as well as help align­ing your skills in a non-library work­place. The Spe­cial Libraries Asso­ci­a­tion (SLA) has even set up a men­tor­ing pro­gram for librar­i­ans who are between jobs or who have been laid off. Even­tu­ally, things will improve. We can see from past reces­sion events, the pro­fes­sion does indeed rebound. And, because libraries are acknowl­edged as a fun­da­men­tal force that holds soci­eties together, I think the impor­tant thing to take away from this crude analy­sis and brief snap­shot of libraries dur­ing today’s eco­nomic reces­sion is that our pro­fes­sion is buoy­ant and has a good chance of weath­er­ing this storm.

    The bright side of the reces­sion is that libraries across the nation are get­ting the best PR in main­stream media that we’ve seen in a long time. Indeed, libraries have tra­di­tion­ally been strongly pro­moted dur­ing times of eco­nomic crises (e.g., Amer­i­can Libraries August 2002, pp. 62 – 63). The upsurge in use of libraries is good evi­dence as is the pub­lic out­cry when a library is threat­ened with being closed down.

    Revis­it­ing the radio broad­cast from 1933 on “How to Reduce the Library Bud­get,” Carl Milam, sec­re­tary of the Amer­i­can Library Asso­ci­a­tion at the time, crafted a care­ful argu­ment sup­port­ing the value of libraries dur­ing eco­nomic cri­sis. His argu­ments framed the neces­sity to uphold librar­ian salaries, look for effi­cien­cies in gov­ern­ment, and make cuts to libraries in the order of (1) decrease oper­at­ing costs, (2) imple­ment effi­cien­cies in rou­tine processes, and as a last recourse, (3) cut the col­lec­tions bud­get. One of H.L. Woolhiser’s (the City Man­ager from Illi­nois) final state­ments from the broad­cast is as true an argu­ment for sup­port­ing libraries dur­ing today’s reces­sion as it was for the plight of libraries dur­ing the Great Depression:

    The library exists to pro­vide the means of self-education. Edu­ca­tion is the inter­est of the state, and the edu­ca­tional insti­tu­tions — school, libraries, uni­ver­si­ties — are engaged in the process of help­ing peo­ple to become intel­li­gent mem­bers of soci­ety. In other words, soci­ety has a stake in what the library does. It is inter­ested in hav­ing the library’s influ­ence reach the largest num­ber of peo­ple in the most effec­tive way.”


    Selected Resources for Fur­ther Investigation:


    Much appre­ci­a­tion to Emily Ford from ITLWTLP, Kim Duck­ett and Hyun-Duck Chung for pro­vid­ing thought­ful feed­back on drafts of this post.

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10 Comments

  • […] inter­est­ing post enti­tled “A Look at Reces­sions and their Impact on Librar­i­an­ship” [http://​inthe​li​brary​with​the​lead​pipe​.org/​2​0​0​9​/​a​-​l​o​o​k​-​a​t​-​r​e​c​e​s​s​i​o​n​s​-​a​n​d​-​t​h​e​i​r​-​i​m​p​a​c​t​-​o​n​-​l​i​b​r​a​r​i​a​n​s​h​ip/] on the In the Library with the Lead Pipe blog.  Here is the […]

  • Emily Ford says:

    Hilary, this is cer­tainly a timely post! Even after you wrote it ALA came out with their Advo­cat­ing in a Tough Econ­omy Toolkit. One of the strengths of your post, I think, is men­tion­ing some of the ser­vices offered by pro­fes­sional orga­ni­za­tions for librar­i­ans who are find­ing them hit by unem­ploy­ment dur­ing this time.

    Where is ALA on this list? As the largest pro­fes­sional orga­ni­za­tion in our field, it seems as if ALA’s mem­ber­ship might have been hit hard­est, just based on sheer num­bers. Were you able to find any­thing about ini­tia­tives from ALA that are in sup­port of indi­vid­ual mem­bers?
    Again, ALA disappoints…

  • Hilary Davis says:

    Hi Emily — it’s pos­si­ble that I missed ALA’s ser­vices for laid off librar­i­ans, but I did attempt to find some­thing (with no luck). Hope­fully oth­ers will post ALA ser­vices sim­i­lar to SLA’s employ­ment dis­rup­tion pro­gram. Thanks for point­ing out Jim Rettig’s advo­cacy toolkit link!

  • Emily Ford says:

    Also, I just saw men­tion of this in AL Direct.
    In a new pod­cast, George Eber­hart, edi­tor of Amer­i­can Libraries Direct, the weekly e-newsletter of Amer­i­can Libraries mag­a­zine, dis­cusses the spe­cial edi­tion of AL Direct being released Jan. 20. The spe­cial edi­tion will describe the many ways the Amer­i­can Library Asso­ci­a­tion (ALA) is involved in deal­ing with libraries fac­ing a tough economy.

  • […] A Look at Reces­sions and their Impact on Librar­i­an­ship | In the Library with the Lead Pipe Er, just like the title says! (via @bookoven) (tags: books libraries) […]

  • Derik says:

    Inter­est­ing post, Hilary (and extra point for stats and graphs).

    I have to won­der how those stats would break down if one divided librar­i­ans up by pub­lic, aca­d­e­mic, and cor­po­rate librar­i­ans. Are pub­lic librar­i­ans affected more by eco­nomic downturns?

    I won­der, but not enough to see if such a stat were possible.

  • Hilary Davis says:

    Hi Derik — Good ques­tion about the break­down between types of librar­i­an­ship; unfor­tu­nately the Cen­sus Bureau and Bureau of Labor Sta­tis­tics doesn’t break down employ­ment by pub­lic, aca­d­e­mic, cor­po­rate, school, etc. librar­i­ans. The salary sur­veys are a lit­tle more help­ful in that you can look at how salaries are dis­trib­uted across dif­fer­ent types of orga­ni­za­tions, but get­ting his­tor­i­cal data on salary break­downs isn’t straight­for­ward (and in some years, doesn’t seem to exist). This ended up being a pretty ambi­tious project because data col­lec­tion was not easy — maybe oth­ers out there can sug­gest other resources, but I could not find a sim­ple, quick method to gather the data (with the excep­tion of the Denise David arti­cle that had already com­piled a lot of salary data). It would be inter­est­ing to com­pare salaries, employ­ment fig­ures, and other fac­tors with related pro­fes­sions (e.g., teach­ing) and my hope is that this post will fuel oth­ers to do addi­tional research. This was just a first pass at try­ing to get some per­spec­tive on the impact of the econ­omy on our pro­fes­sion. More robust, follow-up stud­ies on this topic would be great for MLS stu­dents look­ing for com­pelling projects.

  • Ellie says:

    Thanks for doing all that sta­tis­ti­cal research Hilary! I hope it does inspire more related research.

  • Hilary Davis says:

    There’s a nice overview in Library Jour­nal on the state of library bud­gets (pub­lished Jan 15): http://​www​.libraryjour​nal​.com/​a​r​t​i​c​l​e​/​C​A​6​6​2​5​1​5​9​.​h​tml

  • […] ways to save money and, in gen­eral, are tight­en­ing the purse strings a lit­tle more these days. The post on Jan­u­ary 14, 2009 in this blog reviewed the state of libraries dur­ing reces­sions and pointed out […]

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